So if one tries to take Sam Altman's statements that we are within 'a Few Thousand Days' of having manufactured 'superintelligence'.

WHILE being as generous as possible.

The only thing one can conclude, is that it's a bit like predicting the peak of the industrial revolution before you've mastered all the basic simple machines. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Simple_machine

We don't have even rudimentary general intelligence yet. We don't have any working theories on how to get to general intelligence from where we are at.

AND I don't think his statements should be taken at face value. And I don't think we should be as generous as possible.

All OpenAI has done since it's founding is scale one novelty, one specific kind of hat trick to increasingly bigger, more expensive and more power hungry datasets and infrastructure.

#GenerativeAI #Eliza #StochasticParots #ChatGPT #OpenAI #SamAltman #TechBros

mechanical device that changes the direction or magnitude of a force

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